Thursday, June 5, 2014

In General, Belmont Stakes comes up Rosey.

Remember, you heard it hear first.  If Chrome comes up short, this may be the headline shouted around the world. For the second time in this year's triple crown races, I am faced with a 'monster-move.'  And, this one is live.  Considering all the trouble General A Rod encountered, he continued to rally.  

If the Belmont Stakes distance proves more than the others can handle. General has a great shot at great odds.  From the 'move' running line  we already know the horse was not tired.  Maker and Rosey are a great j/t combination.  Imagine if she becomes only the second woman in history to win a triple crown race. Julie Krone won the Belmont  in 1993. I will be there to collect.

Sunday, June 1, 2014

Constructing a 'solid' move wager


Time is shrinking.  It's one of the reasons posts to this site, recently, have been few. Valuing the minutes, becoming seconds, that life permits me to deal with horse race handicapping, I have been focusing on being selective.  Fewer, larger bets has always been my goal.  So, I have  been sitting on my hands a lot.  My infamous impatience is taking a real beating.

But, for the first time, I am posting a full move on the site.  Hopefully, this is a lesson I can refer to when impatience sends me to the windows less sure of myself.

Thinkofyou ran in the 5th race at Gulfstream, yesterday--a 5F maiden claiming turf event.  The running line immediately caught my attention.  I am familiar with trainer Jose Garafolo as one of the more successful 'move' masters.  Granted the filly hadn't been out since February.  Recent works indicate sharpness. 

Wasn't really impressed with the stats of jockey Olivero.  But, one look at the success of the j/t combination keeps the filly as a contender. 
Only two other horses –the fav and second fave–in the lousy race have better Beyer numbers.  The final and convincing straw, for me, is a considerable drop in class.

I'm not Sherlock Holmes, but the evidence was overwhelming enough to make a larger than normal wager across the board and an exacta box with the favorite.
The reward for this analysis shows in the result chart.


Now, if I can just convince my patience to WAIT for the full banana to open my wallet, I'll be better off.  Had I  done so, my wager on this mover would have been considerably larger.  No sour grapes, though.  That's the move!

Thursday, May 22, 2014

No DRF for two days??????


For two days technical problems have made the Daily Racing Form website unavailable to the public.  So, I'm sitting on my hands after biting off all of my nails. My record-keeping has allowed me to make a few teeny bets at Belmont.  The most important, so far, was Get Gorgeous, $14.80.

What  occurs  to me, during this forced vacation, is that  90% of regular players  wager without buying the past performances. 

One question!  How can you do it?

Saturday, May 17, 2014

'Mover' filly runs in The Preakness


Just for posterity. And, out of respect for the 'monster move,' I am betting Ria Antonia across the board in today's Preakness. The filly shows the move in her last running line.  Although the rest of her pps don't indicate she has even a ghost of a chance, it has happened before.

There are some interesting happenings surrounding the long shot, however.  She has been handed over to premier trainer Thom  Amos from none-other than Bob Baffert.  She gets Calvin Borel, with something to prove after his atrocious ride in the Kentucky Derby. She is the second highest money earner n the race and  she  beat the boys in her maiden win.

Most importantly, I would have to kill myself if she finishes in the money and I don't bet her.  Expect 30-1.

Wednesday, May 14, 2014

'Midnight Missile' rally yields P3

Midnght Missile rallied past dueling speedsters to reward me with Belmont's first Pick-3