Constructing a 'solid' move wager

Time is shrinking.  It's one of the reasons posts to this site, recently, have been few. Valuing the minutes, becoming seconds, that life permits me to deal with horse race handicapping, I have been focusing on being selective.  Fewer, larger bets has always been my goal.  So, I have  been sitting on my hands a lot.  My infamous impatience is taking a real beating.

But, for the first time, I am posting a full move on the site.  Hopefully, this is a lesson I can refer to when impatience sends me to the windows less sure of myself.

Thinkofyou ran in the 5th race at Gulfstream, yesterday--a 5F maiden claiming turf event.  The running line immediately caught my attention.  I am familiar with trainer Jose Garafolo as one of the more successful 'move' masters.  Granted the filly hadn't been out since February.  Recent works indicate sharpness. 

Wasn't really impressed with the stats of jockey Olivero.  But, one look at the success of the j/t combination keeps the filly as a contender. 

Only two other horses –the fav and second fave–in the lousy race have better Beyer numbers.  The final and convincing straw, for me, is a considerable drop in class.

I'm not Sherlock Holmes, but the evidence was overwhelming enough to make a larger than normal wager across the board and an exacta box with the favorite.

The reward for this analysis shows in the result chart.

Now, if I can just convince my patience to WAIT for the full banana to open my wallet, I'll be better off.  Had I  done so, my wager on this mover would have been considerably larger.  No sour grapes, though.  That's the move!