Monday, May 12, 2014

'Move' in tow; Use 'The Givens'


Had to wait all day for this monster mover.
Now that the 'monster method' is a proven commodity, I can get back to writing this blog for myself.  The whole idea, originally, was to keep tabs on my  wagering.

Faced with an ever decreasing amount of time to handicap- and  with 'the move' in my arsenal- I am getting  automatic with most of my bets.  This test  system is based on the 'givens;' stats that prove true about the game year-in, year-out.

So, crazy as it sounds, I will postulate  that without in-depth handicapping the second-favorite is the best bet in any race.  

Statistically, first or second favorites win 50% of the time.  Typically, the favorite is overbet .  This is my starting point.   

Using  exactas,  I will-automatically- box the second and third favorites,  Should the second fav show odds of 3-1, play an exacta with the favorite second.  Three bets.

I have now trimmed hours off of my handicapping time. 

Of course, I will take a cursory glance at the rest of the field for long shots. Stay tuned.

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