Had to wait all day for this monster mover. |
Faced with an ever decreasing amount of time to handicap- and with 'the move' in my arsenal- I am getting automatic with most of my bets. This test system is based on the 'givens;' stats that prove true about the game year-in, year-out.
So, crazy as it sounds, I will postulate that without in-depth handicapping the second-favorite is the best bet in any race.
Statistically, first or second favorites win 50% of the time. Typically, the favorite is overbet . This is my starting point.
Using exactas, I will-automatically- box the second and third favorites, Should the second fav show odds of 3-1, play an exacta with the favorite second. Three bets.
I have now trimmed hours off of my handicapping time.
Of course, I will take a cursory glance at the rest of the field for long shots. Stay tuned.
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