Saturday, May 31, 2014
Monday, May 26, 2014
Thursday, May 22, 2014
No DRF for two days??????
For two days technical problems have made the Daily Racing Form website unavailable to the public. So, I'm sitting on my hands after biting off all of my nails. My record-keeping has allowed me to make a few teeny bets at Belmont. The most important, so far, was Get Gorgeous, $14.80.
What occurs to me, during this forced vacation, is that 90% of regular players wager without buying the past performances.
One question! How can you do it?
Saturday, May 17, 2014
'Mover' filly runs in The Preakness
Just for posterity. And, out of respect for the 'monster move,' I am betting Ria Antonia across the board in today's Preakness. The filly shows the move in her last running line. Although the rest of her pps don't indicate she has even a ghost of a chance, it has happened before.
There are some interesting happenings surrounding the long shot, however. She has been handed over to premier trainer Thom Amos from none-other than Bob Baffert. She gets Calvin Borel, with something to prove after his atrocious ride in the Kentucky Derby. She is the second highest money earner n the race and she beat the boys in her maiden win.
Most importantly, I would have to kill myself if she finishes in the money and I don't bet her. Expect 30-1.
Wednesday, May 14, 2014
Monday, May 12, 2014
'Move' in tow; Use 'The Givens'
Had to wait all day for this monster mover. |
Faced with an ever decreasing amount of time to handicap- and with 'the move' in my arsenal- I am getting automatic with most of my bets. This test system is based on the 'givens;' stats that prove true about the game year-in, year-out.
So, crazy as it sounds, I will postulate that without in-depth handicapping the second-favorite is the best bet in any race.
Statistically, first or second favorites win 50% of the time. Typically, the favorite is overbet . This is my starting point.
Using exactas, I will-automatically- box the second and third favorites, Should the second fav show odds of 3-1, play an exacta with the favorite second. Three bets.
I have now trimmed hours off of my handicapping time.
Of course, I will take a cursory glance at the rest of the field for long shots. Stay tuned.
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