Thursday, May 22, 2014

No DRF for two days??????


For two days technical problems have made the Daily Racing Form website unavailable to the public.  So, I'm sitting on my hands after biting off all of my nails. My record-keeping has allowed me to make a few teeny bets at Belmont.  The most important, so far, was Get Gorgeous, $14.80.

What  occurs  to me, during this forced vacation, is that  90% of regular players  wager without buying the past performances. 

One question!  How can you do it?

Saturday, May 17, 2014

'Mover' filly runs in The Preakness


Just for posterity. And, out of respect for the 'monster move,' I am betting Ria Antonia across the board in today's Preakness. The filly shows the move in her last running line.  Although the rest of her pps don't indicate she has even a ghost of a chance, it has happened before.

There are some interesting happenings surrounding the long shot, however.  She has been handed over to premier trainer Thom  Amos from none-other than Bob Baffert.  She gets Calvin Borel, with something to prove after his atrocious ride in the Kentucky Derby. She is the second highest money earner n the race and  she  beat the boys in her maiden win.

Most importantly, I would have to kill myself if she finishes in the money and I don't bet her.  Expect 30-1.

Wednesday, May 14, 2014

Monday, May 12, 2014

'Move' in tow; Use 'The Givens'


Had to wait all day for this monster mover.
Now that the 'monster method' is a proven commodity, I can get back to writing this blog for myself.  The whole idea, originally, was to keep tabs on my  wagering.

Faced with an ever decreasing amount of time to handicap- and  with 'the move' in my arsenal- I am getting  automatic with most of my bets.  This test  system is based on the 'givens;' stats that prove true about the game year-in, year-out.

So, crazy as it sounds, I will postulate  that without in-depth handicapping the second-favorite is the best bet in any race.  

Statistically, first or second favorites win 50% of the time.  Typically, the favorite is overbet .  This is my starting point.   

Using  exactas,  I will-automatically- box the second and third favorites,  Should the second fav show odds of 3-1, play an exacta with the favorite second.  Three bets.

I have now trimmed hours off of my handicapping time. 

Of course, I will take a cursory glance at the rest of the field for long shots. Stay tuned.