Not every 'move' is exact. Those that pay the most require some analysis, added justification and--most importantly--faith in the system. Take MJ Plus at Parx, in the slop, yesterday. Horse had not run since December. Running line was a close to 'move.' Jockey and trainer were non-factors--except for trainer Scanlan's stat success with route to sprints. MJ showed decent wet-track performances.
But, the horse was dropping to the lowest level in it's career. Worth a wager? You bet. $37 for an easy win--that NYRA Raceday Ernie 'could never pick.'
It all starts with being willing to look for the 'possible' long-shot.
No comments:
Post a Comment