More than before

In this blog, I've given enough examples of 'monster move' winners to fill a book (sic).   It occurs to me that my efforts to trumpet the system have left out a good deal of other  'real-world' information–qualifying factors, phantom moves, losers, etc.

Realistically, I don't have the the time to delve into these areas when showing a simple chart will do.  Veteran handicappers

understand that everything isn't all peachy creamy all the time.  From now on, I will attempt to give a broader picture of my handicapping process.

For instance, here–in order of importance–are qualifying factors AFTER i locate a 'move' running line.

• A decent Beyer  or performance at today's distance

• Competitive or superior early pace performance

• Successful jock and/or trainer–especially those with a 'move' history

• No obvious dislike for the track, surface or conditions

• Equipment or surface change

• Odds

See DRF data for all of the above.  Happy handicapping!

Slim–winning–pickins' thanks to weather

With all the bad weather cancellations around the country, it's difficult to find any wager save a viable 'move' horse. Never fear.  First at Parx was an easy win for Limestone Cowboy.  Was alive with five pick-threes when officials canceled the remaining card, paying consolations.

At Turf Paradise, Put Your Pants On got 'lipped at the wire. Damn. Some healing with the place and show prices.  Missed a double and triple, though.

'Move' seconds, sufficient $

One residual benefit of researching 'monster-move' long-shots is  familiarity with jocks who tend to ride for a price. Bad weather shut my normal tracks so I added Tampa Bay to the menu.  In  race 5, I  was relatively confident that mover Hi-Tech Dave was going to run well. So I automatically bet across the board and exacta boxed the 8-1 shot with the favorite.  Then, I noticed Jock Pedroza (a favorite long rider) atop an impossible 53-1 shot. What to do? What would you do? Enough to say I was more than rewarded for Hi's second place finish.

Ditto in Gulfstream's seventh.  Where Hallowed's second place finish was more than sufficient.  And, I ain't just talking place and show prices. The 'move' is a monster when it hits.

…Gulfstream, later in the day

Strong wager on clear mover Sensational Value, although the horse showed turf race in last.  Three layoff races in a row were moves.  Importantly, Trainer Cibelli asked jock Joe Rocco to ride.  Horse finished clear second to a speed-baller (see chart) and set up $294 superfecta.  Nothing wrong with those place and show prices, either.

Next race, Alondra Sky finished third at 48-1 to pay $16.80. Enough action for you?

Re-analysis of a tough race…

I make it habit to 'understand' results.–as quickly as possible. Elusive Harmony won the first race at Gulfstream, today, virtually wire-to-wire; defeating  class drop mover Aunt Anna.  I was alive with three doubles including an obvious mover.

Several of the other six had interesting goings-on–especially One Proud Gal.  Premier jockey JC Caraballo was named to ride.  The horse was dropping to a new lower level and upon closer examination Gal qualified two races back as a 'monster mover.' 

This wasn't the textbook move, because the horse wasn't positioned up close at the first two calls. But she ran close to a super fast pace.  JC up, showed the trainer believed Gal could compete. And, her odds were 10-1. It was enough for me to treat her as a single. Win, Place, Show and a multiple exacta box with another move horse. Ran first and second.The results? See the chart.

More 'mover' success at Parx

Parx served up another good 'move' on it's card. Four horses in the fourth  showed the all important running line including favorite Apollo Beach. Across the board bets on the two longest shots. Because of a previous competitive Beyer figure an exacta wheel with Chicanery.  Look at the 'mover' exacta.  Helluva day!

Early Valentine's 'Candy,' $49

Who could ask for more?  Parx Racing, today, gave us one of the clearest monster moves I've ever seen.  So surprising was the result that it initiated three foul claims, including two (fictional) against convincing winner Candy's Luck, $49.80.

Southern Journey displayed a 'move' in it's last race, Candy showed a more impressive 'move' two races back. Pace and Jockey analyses gave Candy a distinct edge.  The 23-1 odds didn't hurt.  Horse won easily

Collected across the board and all possible exotics.  Waiting for the result of 'my 'weighted (multiple tickets)' daily double wheel.  Whooopee!

Weighted mover Bryanna's Song got nipped at the wire by 30-1 shot to pay $15.20 for place.  This double was larger, but killed my pick three.

No complaints!

A 'Bit' of a score…for second

Way to start a day!

A second mover in the next plus the all button = $900 pick three