'Perfect' two-year-old 'move' exception

Although, I rarely include two-year-olds in my 'move' wagering, I was rewarded with an easy  win by Perfect Setting, Corey Lanerie up.  Take a look at the exotic prices and you'll understand why Setting may be the reason I change my typical two-year-old policy. Had the exacta and naturally across the board–twice.

Just the facts…

Avoiding 'gift horse' syndrome

As elated as I am to have early winners on a card, I am also a bit intimidated.  A good hit early, is supposed to mean that one can't lose for the day. However, with extra money in my pocket, it's difficult not to spread on races where i don't have an opinion. So I TRY to slow to a stop. 

Case in point, at Keeneland, today.  I crushed the first race triple and super and was riding a second race pick-three.  With a minute to go, stewards scratched my move horse--the only contending speed to compete with the odds-on entry.  Of course, you know the rest.  Speed dies, my second pick-three contender loses at the wire.  

Peel off $50 for the rest of the card.  Wallet in pocket. They are not getting me today.

Great start; better finish for day's movers

What a way to start the day!  'Mover' Ain'tnuthingbutakiss leads most of the way to  finish second to odds-on Harbor Kiss at Parx and pays $24; $10.8 and sets up a $224 triple. For me, the only possible wager in the race.

In the final at Belmont, Social Rebellion (two--back move) rallies past everybody to complete a $372 double wheel, and head up a $334 exacta. Social paid $16.8

Time for fine-tuning!!!

Now that the book is published, I intend to plug some holes in my game.

Somewhere in my last thirty years of handicapping, I have developed a bunch of bad habits; Starting with the habit of stopping short.  That is, I  subconsciously stop analyzing when I get the fields down to three contenders.  Maybe, it's laziness, or my constant battle with time.  Most likely, it has everything to do with my 'monster move' study of long shots.  That's now done. 

In any event, it stops today. Time to fine-tune! Joining 'shorts' in my handicapping waste basket  is a tendency to speed read–glancing right over race conditions and a few other essentials in the DRF.  Finally, I am committing to pay more attention to The Beyers.  Hopefully, these corrections will save–and make–money..

Yankee confirms 'the move;' 'Bee' repeats effort

With yesterday's  offering of the second edition of  the 'monster move' system, wanted  today to be a 'monster.'  Mission accomplished by Yankee Diva in Keeneland's first, Diva's running line showed in it's last race in August on turf.  Today, unheralded trainer, Robert Radcliffe hoisted Jock Johnson aboard on dirt,  to score at  $48.20. Go signal was Radcliffe/Johnson 50% winning record.  A  cautious bet–but a winner just the same..

Beeliner did it before. Does it again.

Favorite Third Knight (9-5) at Belmont had been taken to the limit to lose against Beeliner in February.  Beeliner repeated, today, but finished second at 18-1.  Nice triple.  It's an easy game!

Finally! 'Taming the Monster' is published

The second edition of 'the monster move' system is now, finally, on sale at: on the website .  The book contains more than 50 examples of past-performances with results for each and space to record your own observations. Price: $40 for a download. One hit, and the system pays for itself.

Dover Point is 'the point'

Driving home my premise about needing only one good hit was Dover Point at Parx, in the first race, today.  A simple across the board bet: a $2 exacta wheel ($10); a double wheel for $1 with another $2 on the second race favorite ($10, total)–you're reasonably 'a millionaire.'

Key to the who deal is being able to recognize 'mover' Dover as a serious contender.  Horse won by two city blocks.  Publishing the system soon.  Any interest?

Secretariat? Not!

Started today at both Belmont and Keeneland betting against 'Secretariat' running against three-legged horse fields (sic). Obviously, I am being facetious.  But that is how the favorites were bet at both tracks (1-9, 1-5).  Movers at Keeneland ran first and third–nearly netting a 30G super.  Arkasia paid $41.  Belmont fav winner returned a decent superfecta with mover second.  

My point? You gotta at least, look for a longer shot.  Stay tuned!

My nemesis jock balances the books

Hesitated to  post this one.  The reason?  Because I''m not sure that it has anything  to do with handicapping, per se.  This is not about a monster move, although there was one in the race (suspect jock).  In the course of a wagering day, or week, one develops a sense of trends (real or imagined).   In the fourth at Belmont, I was merely determined not to let a noticed trend beat me. And, I won. 

Manuel Franco is one of the hottest apprentices on the Eastern seabird. In the last few months. He has cost me thousands of dollars when I ignored him. And a lot less when I decided to include him in my wager.  Yesterday's ride on Seven Dreams repays some of that money.  With the following $150 double, we'll call it even.

The race itself begged for a a long-shot winner, merely because of an extra half-furlong (6.5).   Seven Dreams showed a love for Belmont.  An exacta wheel cost me $14.  The return? $543..