Saturday, June 29, 2013

Ur kiddin' me, right?


I'm always amazed when fans pick up on a transient trend and ignore an established one.  Such was the case in Belmont's eight race, today.  Having finished my scheduled wagering for the day, I glanced at the 1 1/4 turf event just as a lark. 
It was instantly apparent that there was a lack of  natural front runners but for Starformer listed at 20-1.  The real kicker was that 'star' is trained by Bill Mott, and was being ridden by Edgar Prado. The odds board showed the fans were afflicted with 'The Rosario Effect' making his mount the favorite.

Beyond being one of my favorite trainers, and a 'mover' at that. At any given time of year, Bill Mott is at least one of the top three  trainers in the country. Add turf to the mix and he stands alone.  What's a punter to do? No other handicapping necessary. $10 across the board and a wheel in the daily double.  Longest price on the board completed the double (Rosario, up). It's an easy game.

One reason only: ' the move'


When I adopted the Monster Move method as my mainstay, I immediately changed my process of doing things–and doubled my work.  Rather than examine each card, race by race, I now search the cards of all potential tracks to identify possible movers for the day.

Once that  is done, I go back and handicap each race. Sometimes it's almost a no-brainer.  Today, in Monmouth's sixth PJ Hooker was an outstanding mover. After a five-month layoff, PJ  returned to racing at five-furlongs on the turf--the move race.  The horse is trained by Joe Orseno, who boasts a remarkable 27% record with moving horses from turf to
dirt, and a respectable win percentage when hoisting capable jock Gabriel Saez on a horse.  Good figs at both distance and the track.

I was so impressed that I wagered across the board before the second at Monmouth Park even ran.  There was just one puzzle.  For the life of me, I couldn't figure how  PJ was going to beat Rockstar Royalty no matter how I tried.

As the race drew near, I increased my PJ wager to include doubles with the 5th and 7th.  The 'move' said the horse was a go, regardless of my tiny misgivings.  PJ pulled away from RockStar in the stretch to win and pay on all bets.

Guess, having faith is reason enough.

Tuesday, June 25, 2013

They really didn't like him

I bet this horse across the board, twice, at 14-1. The Monster Move said he was a contender. Imagine my surprise--and delight--when Lookingatlangfuhr finished second at 50-1.  Look at the place and show prices. Hachacha!


Thursday, June 20, 2013

The Move is always there. Even when I am not


One of the nicer facts about the Monster Move is that it will always be there  No need to panic if you miss catching one or two.  Recently, family and business matters have required so much of my attention that I haven't had the time to devote to handicap or post to this blog. 

I have still been able to catch a few movers during this time period including Zero X Zero (see chart). 

Today, marks the first time in weeks that I've been able to spend a whole day on my handicapping. No worries.  At  Belmont, Sheza Heartbreaker rallied up the rail under veteran Cornelio Velasquez to welcome me back with a 25-1 win.  


Newcomer. jockey Sanjur got his first North American win, ever, riding Paster Puckett to a 23-1 wire-to-wire score at Churchill.    Nice returns, any way you look at it.